The Verdicts
Public experiments and verdicts: we run popular strategies and 'proven' systems through rigorous validation and publish the honest result — wins and failures, with the numbers.
Anyone can claim an edge. We run popular strategies and "proven" systems through rigorous validation and publish the honest result — the wins, the failures, all of it, with the numbers. Here's a sample. New ones land every week.
I Generated 1,500 Trading Strategies. 114 "Passed" on Bitcoin. None Were Real.
A hands-on demonstration of why in-sample / out-of-sample / holdout testing isn't enough to catch overfitting — and the statistics that actually are.
Read the verdict →A 90% Win Rate That Loses Money: The Win-Rate Trap
Win rate is the most cited and most misleading number in trading. Here's how a strategy that wins 90% of the time can still bleed you dry — and what…
Read the verdict →Your Backtest Only Sees the Survivors
Test a strategy on today's top coins or stocks and you've already rigged the result. Survivorship bias quietly inflates every backtest that ignores…
Read the verdict →Your Backtest Peeked at the Future. That's Why It Looks Perfect.
Lookahead bias is the quietest backtest killer: a single accidental glance at future data turns random noise into a flawless equity curve. Here's how…
Read the verdict →The Curve-Fitting Trap: Why Your Optimized Strategy Dies the Moment It Goes Live
You ran the optimizer, found the best settings, and the backtest looks great. That's exactly the problem. Here's why optimized strategies die in live…
Read the verdict →Is your backtest lying to you?
Get The Honest Backtest Checklist — the exact red flags that expose an overfit strategy before you risk a cent, plus one rigorous idea a week.
Free forever. Unsubscribe anytime. We test what others sell — no hype. · Prefer to read it now? →